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A new benchmark started circulating through the industry this week, and if it becomes your new definition of normal, you could end up scaling a cost problem that gets harder to fix as you grow. In this week's feature, find out when the benchmark is useful, when it becomes dangerous, and what your own margin may be hiding.

In this issue
Why customers of a cap-table platform are suddenly on the clock, and what they lose if they miss the first deadline.
Why Anthropic's new Claude Code limits could leave heavy users paying more for the same work.
Why rising AI budgets could make it harder to defend your place in the customer's stack.
The gauge
60%

Deloitte surveyed 1,434 finance leaders at companies with $1 billion or more in revenue, and 60% expect AI costs to rise substantially through 2027, per CFO Dive. More money going into AI does not mean more money going to every AI vendor. If another product can cover enough of the same workflow, your contract can disappear while the customer's total AI spend keeps rising.

Gear changes
What moved for founders this week
Cap table migration deadline

Pulley closes Dec. 8, but the first deadline comes sooner

Pulley told customers it will cease all operations and services Dec. 8 (TechCrunch, Pulley). But anyone considering its preferred migration path to Carta only has until Nov. 30 to opt in for a first-year price match, credit for any prepaid balance and help transferring a standard cap table. Pulley gave no reason for the shutdown.

The price match lasts one year

Existing 409A valuations carry over with the documentation, and Carta bills annually or quarterly, so monthly Pulley customers will move to one of those terms. The FAQ does not say what happens to pricing after the first year.

Customers choosing another provider face a different migration. Pulley's FAQ says the company "is unable to assist a migration to a different provider in any capacity."

Data stays accessible through Jan. 31

Pulley says customer data will remain accessible through Jan. 31, 2027, in a limited format. BPM, an accounting firm, recommends exporting share classes and holders, option grants, vesting schedules, SAFEs and convertible notes, warrants and prior 409A records, then reconciling them against the underlying source documents before choosing a destination.

Founder read: A clean migration can preserve bad data as easily as good data, so reconcile grants, SAFEs, notes and 409As before the new platform makes old discrepancies look authoritative.

Also this week

The Fed raised rates a quarter point on Sept. 16

Two weeks after markets put the odds of a hike at 55%, the Fed raised its target range to 3.75% to 4% on a 12-0 vote, its first increase since July 2023. The committee's median projection shows one more quarter-point increase this year (Fox Business). Founder read: Longer payment terms got a little more expensive. If a customer wants net-60 or net-90 on top of a discount, price the financing cost into the exception instead of treating the two concessions separately.

Sales and marketing startups raised $7.5 billion so far in 2026

Startups selling to sales and marketing teams raised $7.5 billion across 830 rounds through mid-September, compared with $11.1 billion last year. Crunchbase says the category is on track for a fourth straight annual decline, with most of this year's funding going to AI-related products (Crunchbase News). Founder read: A declining funding total can still leave your buyers crowded with new vendors. Freshly funded competitors can afford to subsidize pilots and underprice deals while they chase traction.

Claude Code's weekly limit fell 17% on Sept. 14

Anthropic replaced a temporary 50% boost to Claude Code's weekly limits with a permanent 25% increase on Sept. 14 for Pro, Max, Team and seat-based Enterprise plans, leaving subscribers with 17% less weekly capacity than they had under the temporary allowance (BleepingComputer). Founder read: Temporary capacity can become part of the operating model before anyone treats it that way. If teams built workflows around the higher allowance, the lower limit changes the economics even though the subscription price didn't move.
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Which part of your product is expensive?

ICONIQ found AI companies doing fine on 55% gross margins. It also found them growing 900% a year. One of those numbers is a lot easier to copy than the other.

Traditional SaaS has trained founders to expect very high gross margins. SaaS Capital says core SaaS license revenue generally runs at 80% to 85% gross margin across its portfolio and private-company survey data.

Then ICONIQ Growth published its 2026 State of Scaling report.

For its Pacesetters below $10 million in ARR, median gross margin is 55%.

That means 45 cents of every revenue dollar disappears into the cost of delivering the product before sales, marketing, R&D or G&A enter the picture.

Normally, that would look terrible for software.

ICONIQ's companies complicate the diagnosis. Their median year-over-year growth is 900%.

These are not typical AI companies

ICONIQ calls the companies in this table "Pacesetters." They have top-quartile revenue growth over the previous three years and are either AI-native or AI-driven.

The broader study draws on quarterly operating and financial data from 137 software companies, including ICONIQ portfolio companies where figures were available and 11 public companies. ICONIQ does not disclose how many companies fall into the under-$10 million Pacesetter group, and figures in the table are rounded where applicable.

Within that group, median net dollar retention is 105% and the median burn multiple is 1.3x. The top quartile reaches 80% gross margin.

So the 55% figure has a very specific provenance. It comes from companies selected partly because they are growing unusually fast.

ICONIQ does not show that weaker gross margins caused that growth. It does not show that these companies deliberately traded margin for growth. And it does not establish 55% as a normal gross margin for young AI companies.

It shows that companies with extraordinary growth can operate there.

That is a useful distinction if your own company is at 55%.

What's driving the margin

SaaS Capital's 2026 survey offers another view of delivery costs.

More than 1,000 private B2B SaaS companies participated. Among companies with $3 million to $5 million in ARR, median spending was 5% of ARR for hosting, 3% for DevOps, 5% for professional-services cost of goods and 3.5% for other cost of goods.

Those four category medians add to 16.5%.

That calculation has an important limitation. Medians from separate categories cannot be combined into the median cost structure of an actual company. SaaS Capital also does not publish total gross margin in that post.

The categories are more useful than the sum anyway.

They show what a founder needs to inspect when gross margin starts falling: what, exactly, is being charged to cost of revenue?

For an AI company, that might include inference, hosting, implementation, professional services, customer-specific work or infrastructure required to produce the output customers bought.

A single gross-margin percentage hides all of that.

And the reason matters because different costs behave differently.

Implementation expense may fall as onboarding improves. Professional services may remain stubbornly human. Infrastructure may become cheaper with scale. Inference expense may rise directly with usage. Some technical costs can move because engineers change how the product works.

That last category is easier to underestimate than it looks.

A 71% cost difference

On Sept. 17, Tomasz Tunguz wrote about a UC Berkeley study comparing the software systems wrapped around coding agents.

In one comparison, he reports that GPT-5.6 Sol cost 71% less to run inside one runtime than another. Across the paper's 42 comparisons, none showed a statistically significant difference in quality.

There are limits to what you can infer from that. The study covers coding agents on two benchmarks, and this account relies on Tunguz's description rather than the paper itself. A 71% reduction cannot be generalized across AI products.

But the mechanism is hard to ignore.

For at least one class of AI product, a substantial portion of delivery cost changed because of the software surrounding the model. The customer did not receive a worse result. The model itself did not become cheaper. An engineering choice changed what it cost to produce the output.

So "AI is expensive" is not much of a diagnosis.

You need to know which part is expensive.

What the 55% can tell you

If your gross margin is 55%, don't start by asking whether ICONIQ makes that acceptable. Pull the last quarter's cost of revenue and find out what is consuming the 45%.

Separate inference and model spend, hosting and infrastructure, implementation, professional services, customer-specific work, and any other material delivery expense. Then identify the two largest categories.

For each one, answer three questions: Does the cost rise as customers use more of the product? Can you materially reduce it without hurting the customer outcome? Does your pricing recover more revenue when that cost rises?

The answers tell you where to work.

High inference costs may send the product team back to model, runtime or architecture choices. Heavy implementation may expose onboarding work that still requires people because the product has not absorbed it. Professional services that grow in step with revenue may mean the business is carrying more labor than the pricing model recognizes.

Then check the growth those costs accompany.

ICONIQ's under-$10 million Pacesetters grow at a median 900% a year. The report does not establish that their spending caused that growth, but it does tell you what kind of companies produced the 55% benchmark.

If your company has a similar margin and far less growth, stop using 55% as reassurance. Pick the largest controllable cost in that 45% and make someone accountable for changing it.

The Prime
What to read, watch or use this week
Credit pricing gets messy at the edges: shared pools, unused credits and what happens when a customer hits zero halfway through the month. Forth argues that rollover should match the commitment period and that a hard stop at zero is a bad design choice. He sells pricing software, so treat the recommendations as a vendor's view, but the edge cases are useful ones to settle before customers settle them for you.
Ben Murray's ratio is simple: AI product revenue divided by inference cost. He uses 8:1 as a target floor for software that added AI and 4:1 for AI-native products. Those thresholds are his own rather than an industry benchmark, but the calculation gives you a quick way to see whether growing AI usage is improving the economics or growing the bill.
Price Per Token
Price Per Token
Model pricing changes fast enough that an old spreadsheet can become fiction. Price Per Token tracks current input and output rates for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google and others, including when each price was checked. Run last month's actual volume through a few candidate models before engineering spends time on a swap, and use the comparison to see whether the savings justify the work.
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How was this issue?
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Before you go
How I can help you

I run The Pricing Reset, a six-week engagement for founders of sales-led B2B SaaS companies whose product has outgrown the pricing they set a few years ago. I rebuild the packaging, price points and discount rules, then help put the new pricing live on new deals so the team can run it without every exception landing on the founder.

The work continues through a 90-day measurement window, with check-ins at days 30, 60 and 90 and a final readout against the company's own starting numbers.

If your pricing has not kept pace with the product, book a 20-minute call at redwoodridge.net/book, or reply with your current pricing page. I'll tell you whether The Pricing Reset applies and, if it doesn't, what I'd look at instead.

Thanks for reading. See you next Wednesday.
— Jason

P.S. If the margin looks fine but the cash still feels tight, June's The Profit That Can't Make Payroll follows a profitable month three weeks from missing payroll.